85.5% probability that the Fed will leave rates unchanged in March
According to the CME “Fed Watch”, the probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in March is 85.5%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 14.5%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged in May is 61.1%, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 34.7%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points is 4.1%.
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