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AI crashed, France exploded, Goldman Sachs recommends a "hedging strategy": pay attention to the Japanese yen!
Goldman Sachs FICC team weaves together three main threads—AI valuation collapse, French bond crisis, and undervaluation of the yen—into a single macro narrative: the US exceptionalism is cracking, and capital is returning. Their core conclusion is that the yen is undervalued by 40%, while the two-year implied volatility is only 9.9, far below the 20-year average, which means buying protection for the currency with the largest valuation divergence at near historical lows. As the correlation chain of AI decline, lower US Treasury yields, and a softer USD/JPY exchange rate has taken shape, holding yen has become the cheapest diversification tool available at present.
Bernstein Remains Bullish on Chip Stocks Against the Trend: Market Concerns Over Slowing Memory ASP Growth Are Overstated, Prefers Seagate (STX.US), Favors SanDisk (SNDK.US), etc.
Bernstein has released its latest research report, maintaining a constructive outlook on memory and HDD overall. The firm believes that the recent pullback has overly priced in concerns about a slowdown in gains.
