BTC Wants to Outperform Gold Again, Breaking Historic Oversold Signals to Usher in a Super Bull Market

BlockBeats News, January 21 — Historically, there have been four instances where the RSI (Relative Strength Index) of bitcoin relative to gold dropped below 30, indicating an extremely oversold condition. These occurred in 2015, 2018, 2022, and 2025, and each time, the divergence in trends ultimately ended with a strong rebound in bitcoin.

In 2015, at the end of the bear market, bitcoin's RSI relative to gold fell below 30, after which the 2016-2017 super bull market began;

During the 2018 bear market, bitcoin fell by more than 40% while gold rose by nearly 6%. After the RSI dropped below 30, bitcoin rebounded by over 770% from its 2020 low;

In the 2022 bear market, bitcoin dropped nearly 60%. After the RSI fell below 30, bitcoin once again outperformed gold in its rebound;

From the end of 2025 to now, this historic oversold signal has appeared for the fourth time. Gold surged 64% in 2025 and has risen another 10% in the first 20 days of this year, while bitcoin's RSI relative to gold has once again entered the oversold range.

For more market insights, see BlockBeats in-depth report "Why Everything Except Crypto Is Rising"