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An $XRP breakout from a multi-month descending triangle on the monthly chart could lead to a surge against Bitcoin.
Notably, $XRP continues to lag behind Bitcoin as the crypto market remains under pressure amid the downturn that began in the fourth quarter of 2025. The sustained weakness has pushed the $XRP/$BTC pair lower, with $XRP suffering a relative disadvantage.
Despite the ongoing decline, market conditions suggest $XRP may be approaching a decisive moment against Bitcoin. Its price action now moves closer to the apex of a multi-month descending triangle. This leaves room for a sharp move that could lead to a rebound.
Key Points
- The $XRP/$BTC pair has trended lower since January 2025 after peaking at 0.00003415 $BTC, a period that coincided with $XRP’s $3.4 rally.
- $XRP has remained in a descending triangle on the monthly chart, with the lower horizontal support holding at 0.00001929 $BTC as the price trades around 0.00001960 $BTC.
- Historical behavior shows $XRP often moves 2-3x more aggressively than Bitcoin during bullish phases, increasing its upside potential during recoveries.
- A bullish breakout could push $XRP up by about 111% to 0.00004132 $BTC, implying a $4.132 price if Bitcoin trades at $100,000.
- Also, a stronger rally could extend gains by roughly 432% to 0.00010706 $BTC, which would place $XRP near $10.7 at a $100,000 Bitcoin price.
- Meanwhile, a breakdown below the triangle support could send the $XRP/$BTC pair down to 0.00001236.
$XRP Often Rallies More Sharply Than Bitcoin
Market analyst Celal Küçüker discussed this in a recent commentary, noting that the $XRP/$BTC pair stands out. Küçüker highlighted that $XRP has a historical tendency to move more aggressively than Bitcoin during bullish phases.
According to him, when Bitcoin rises, $XRP often responds with gains that are 2-3x stronger. Based on this pattern, he presented a scenario in which Bitcoin eventually climbs to $180,000. In this scenario, he believes $XRP could technically deliver an 11x to 12x move from current levels.
Küçüker also discussed an alternative outcome that does not depend on a major Bitcoin rally. With this, $XRP could surge sharply while Bitcoin barely moves. He noted that such a move could allow $XRP to increase its relative value against Bitcoin by 5-6x.
While he suggested that the chart was compelling, the market analyst admitted that market conditions remain weak and unpredictable, confirming that his analysis only shows his observation.
$XRP Enters Descending Triangle Against Bitcoin
Meanwhile, data from Küçüker’s chart provides historical context for $XRP’s position against Bitcoin. The chart shows that the $XRP/$BTC pair has traded inside a descending triangle on the 1-month timeframe since peaking at 0.00003415 $BTC in January 2025.
Notably, this peak coincided with $XRP’s rally to $3.4 during the same month, a period when the broader crypto market, including Bitcoin, recorded a much milder rise.
After that January 2025 high, $XRP steadily lost ground against Bitcoin. The downtrend strengthened during the market-wide decline that began in Q4 2025, leading to deeper losses for $XRP and a sustained slide in the $XRP/$BTC pair.
However, despite the persistent pressure, the chart shows that the lower boundary of the descending triangle has continued to hold and remains a key support level.
Upside and Downside Targets
According to the chart, the horizontal support line of the descending triangle currently sits at 0.00001929 $BTC. $XRP trades just above that level at 0.00001960 $BTC, indicating that support still holds. The chart also shows $XRP moving closer to the apex of the descending triangle, an area where sharp moves may occur.
If an upward breakout develops, Küçüker’s chart projects a potential 111% rally that could lift $XRP to 0.00004132 $BTC, a level last seen in November 2020. At a Bitcoin price of $100,000, that move would place $XRP at $4.132.
The chart also presents a bigger target, showing a possible 432% surge to 0.00010706 $BTC. At the same Bitcoin price of $100,000, $XRP would reach approximately $10.7 if the $XRP/$BTC pair reaches 0.00010706.
The chart also reveals a downside risk. Notably, if the $XRP/$BTC pair breaks below the horizontal support of the descending triangle, the chart points to a potential drop to 0.00001236 $BTC. For context, $XRP last traded at that level in November 2024.
