Will Hyperliquid price crash as bearish crossover forms and revenue drops?

Hyperliquid price has remained in a downtrend over the past two weeks, dropping nearly 20% since its yearly high as network revenues have slumped. Will the token crash now that it has confirmed a bearish crossover?

According to data, Hyperliquid (HYPE) price fell 25% to a monthly low of $28.5 on Wednesday last week after it hit a yearly high of $37.8. It has since managed to retrace some of its losses, exchanging hands at $30.2 when writing.

Hyperliquid price has been in a downtrend due to lingering bearish sentiment in the crypto market after Bitcoin (BTC), the bellwether crypto asset, fell through multiple key psychological resistance levels one after the other, dampening investor appetite for other major cryptocurrencies.

The token’s price has fallen amid weakness in key fundamental metrics. Data shows that the weekly revenue generated by the network has dropped 55% to $11.8 million last week, while the total value locked in the platform has dropped from its yearly high of $4.7 billion to $4.24 billion.

A drop in TVL and revenue generated on the network suggests that trading activity on the exchange is cooling off. Specifically, a drop in revenue generated by the platform also lowers the total amount of capital the platform gets to buy back and burn tokens from the market. This reduction in deflationary pressure makes it harder for the price to recover while sell-side pressure remains high.

Hyperliquid price analysis

The short-term outlook for Hyperliquid price also appears to be bearish when looking at its daily chart. Notably, the MACD lines have confirmed a bearish crossover with growing red histograms signaling that selling pressure seems to overwhelm buyers.

Hyperliquid price has formed a bearish crossover on the daily chart — Feb. 17 | Source: crypto.news

HYPE’s daily RSI has also entered into a descending channel formation and was close to dropping below the neutral threshold. Furthermore, HYPE price was drawing closer towards the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at $28.4, drawn from last year’s April low to September high.

A break below this key psychological level risks a move toward $21.10. Between the bearish technical crossover and underwhelming weekly revenue, the token is trending toward the target nearly 20% lower than current prices.

On the contrary, if HYPE manages to bottom and rebound from $28.4, it could retrace back toward its yearly high of $37.8. This would likely require a broader recovery in the crypto market as well, alongside a resurgence in trading volumes on the Hyperliquid platform to drive the necessary demand.