Why Heritage Insurance (HRTG) May Surpass Earnings Predictions Once More

Heritage Insurance: A Strong Contender for Earnings Surprises

If you're searching for a stock that has a solid track record of outperforming earnings expectations and may be poised to continue this trend, Heritage Insurance (HRTG) from the property and casualty insurance sector is worth your attention.

Heritage Insurance has repeatedly exceeded analysts’ earnings forecasts, particularly in the last two quarters, where the average earnings surprise reached 129.02%.

Recent Earnings Performance

In the most recent quarter, Heritage Insurance reported earnings of $1.63 per share, far surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.53 per share—a surprise of 207.55%. The quarter prior, the company delivered $1.55 per share against an expected $1.03, resulting in a 50.49% surprise.

Price and EPS Trends

Given this impressive history, analysts have recently raised their estimates for Heritage Insurance. The company currently holds a positive Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction), which, combined with a favorable Zacks Rank, signals a strong chance of another earnings beat.

Understanding Earnings ESP and Zacks Rank

Research indicates that stocks with both a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of #3 (Hold) or better deliver a positive earnings surprise nearly 70% of the time. In practical terms, out of ten stocks with this combination, as many as seven could outperform consensus estimates.

The Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter. The Most Accurate Estimate is updated with the latest analyst revisions, which often reflect the most current information available—potentially making it more reliable than earlier forecasts. For more details on Heritage Insurance’s upcoming earnings, visit the earnings calendar.

Currently, Heritage Insurance’s Earnings ESP stands at +24.61%, indicating growing optimism among analysts about the company’s upcoming results. When paired with its Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), this suggests another earnings beat could be on the horizon. The next earnings report is anticipated on March 9, 2026.

It’s important to note that a negative Earnings ESP reduces the likelihood of a surprise, but does not guarantee an earnings miss.

Why Monitor Earnings ESP?

While many companies surpass earnings estimates, this isn’t always the sole reason for share price movements. Some stocks may remain steady even if they miss expectations. Therefore, reviewing a company’s Earnings ESP before quarterly results can help improve your investment decisions.

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Additional Resources

• Get the latest stock recommendations from Zacks Investment Research. Download the 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days.
• Read the Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. (HRTG): Free Stock Analysis Report
• Find out more about why Heritage Insurance could beat earnings estimates again.
• Visit Zacks Investment Research for more insights.