MSFT Trade Plan — Weekly Reclaim Setup
By:TradingView
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MSFT is currently attempting to reclaim its long-term logarithmic regression channel after a sharp corrective move from the 2025 highs. The stock has bounced strongly from the recent low area and is now trading back near a key decision zone.
Current price area: ~414
The setup is not yet a confirmed breakout. It is a reclaim / recovery setup that needs confirmation above resistance.
Key Levels
Support zone: 397–400 This is the key near-term support. As long as MSFT holds above this area, the reclaim attempt remains valid.
Breakout trigger: 440+ weekly close A weekly close above 440 would confirm strength and suggest that buyers have regained control.
Upside targets: Target 1: 465–480 Target 2: 505–545 Extended target: 580–600
Invalidation / Risk Zone
If MSFT loses 397–400 on a weekly close, the reclaim setup weakens.
If price also loses 365–370, the bullish structure is invalidated and downside risk opens toward 330–350.
Trade Idea
Bullish bias only above the 397–400 support zone.
Preferred entry is either:
A confirmed weekly close above 440, or
A pullback that holds 397–400 and shows a strong bullish reaction.
Stop / invalidation should be based on a weekly close below 397–400, depending on risk tolerance.
Summary
MSFT is back inside its long-term rising channel, but the move still needs confirmation. The clean bullish trigger is a weekly close above 440. Until then, this remains a reclaim setup, not a fully confirmed continuation breakout.
Above 440, the next technical targets are 465–480, then 505–545, and potentially 580–600 if momentum continues.
Current price area: ~414
The setup is not yet a confirmed breakout. It is a reclaim / recovery setup that needs confirmation above resistance.
Key Levels
Support zone: 397–400 This is the key near-term support. As long as MSFT holds above this area, the reclaim attempt remains valid.
Breakout trigger: 440+ weekly close A weekly close above 440 would confirm strength and suggest that buyers have regained control.
Upside targets: Target 1: 465–480 Target 2: 505–545 Extended target: 580–600
Invalidation / Risk Zone
If MSFT loses 397–400 on a weekly close, the reclaim setup weakens.
If price also loses 365–370, the bullish structure is invalidated and downside risk opens toward 330–350.
Trade Idea
Bullish bias only above the 397–400 support zone.
Preferred entry is either:
A confirmed weekly close above 440, or
A pullback that holds 397–400 and shows a strong bullish reaction.
Stop / invalidation should be based on a weekly close below 397–400, depending on risk tolerance.
Summary
MSFT is back inside its long-term rising channel, but the move still needs confirmation. The clean bullish trigger is a weekly close above 440. Until then, this remains a reclaim setup, not a fully confirmed continuation breakout.
Above 440, the next technical targets are 465–480, then 505–545, and potentially 580–600 if momentum continues.
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Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
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